Pre-tourney Rankings
South Dakota St.
Summit League
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.2#107
Expected Predictive Rating+4.5#105
Pace63.0#269
Improvement+4.1#36

Offense
Total Offense+7.1#30
Improvement+1.3#105

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#255
Improvement+2.8#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round13.4% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen3.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.4% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2012 68   @ Alabama L 67-70 27%     0 - 1 +7.7 +9.9 -2.6
  Nov 13, 2012 166   Tennessee St. W 78-71 76%     1 - 1 +3.8 -2.0 +5.4
  Nov 16, 2012 293   @ Hofstra L 63-66 81%     1 - 2 -8.2 +1.1 -9.7
  Nov 17, 2012 224   Marshall W 78-77 77%     2 - 2 -2.5 +13.1 -15.5
  Nov 28, 2012 264   North Dakota W 71-70 89%     3 - 2 -8.2 -2.0 -6.2
  Dec 01, 2012 322   Nebraska Omaha W 78-63 95%     4 - 2 1 - 0 +0.8 -7.6 +8.3
  Dec 04, 2012 27   @ Minnesota L 64-88 14%     4 - 3 -8.4 -1.1 -7.4
  Dec 09, 2012 238   Cal St. Bakersfield W 69-63 86%     5 - 3 -1.6 -2.3 +1.0
  Dec 15, 2012 148   @ Montana W 68-67 2OT 50%     6 - 3 +5.1 -8.7 +13.7
  Dec 19, 2012 50   @ Belmont L 49-76 20%     6 - 4 -13.9 -16.4 +1.2
  Dec 22, 2012 16   @ New Mexico W 70-65 12%     7 - 4 +22.0 +9.9 +12.4
  Dec 29, 2012 94   @ North Dakota St. L 62-65 35%     7 - 5 1 - 1 +5.2 +8.5 -3.9
  Jan 03, 2013 318   @ UMKC W 77-61 85%     8 - 5 2 - 1 +8.9 +9.1 +1.3
  Jan 05, 2013 247   @ South Dakota L 71-74 72%     8 - 6 2 - 2 -4.8 -2.6 -2.4
  Jan 10, 2013 206   Oakland W 81-74 82%     9 - 6 3 - 2 +1.6 +0.0 +1.5
  Jan 12, 2013 242   Purdue Fort Wayne W 83-57 87%     10 - 6 4 - 2 +18.1 +8.7 +10.1
  Jan 17, 2013 176   @ Western Illinois W 59-53 56%     11 - 6 5 - 2 +8.7 +12.1 -1.4
  Jan 19, 2013 332   @ IUPUI W 80-65 91%     12 - 6 6 - 2 +4.5 -1.8 +6.3
  Jan 26, 2013 94   North Dakota St. W 69-53 59%     13 - 6 7 - 2 +17.8 +10.5 +10.1
  Jan 31, 2013 247   South Dakota W 67-54 88%     14 - 6 8 - 2 +4.7 -5.1 +11.6
  Feb 02, 2013 318   UMKC W 88-57 94%     15 - 6 9 - 2 +17.4 +8.2 +8.8
  Feb 07, 2013 242   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 80-74 71%     16 - 6 10 - 2 +4.6 +10.0 -5.2
  Feb 09, 2013 206   @ Oakland L 83-88 62%     16 - 7 10 - 3 -4.0 +10.4 -14.6
  Feb 14, 2013 332   IUPUI W 82-45 96%     17 - 7 11 - 3 +20.1 +7.8 +17.1
  Feb 16, 2013 176   Western Illinois W 64-55 78%     18 - 7 12 - 3 +5.2 +8.7 -1.4
  Feb 20, 2013 238   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 78-79 2OT 70%     18 - 8 -2.2 -6.8 +4.8
  Feb 23, 2013 139   @ Murray St. L 62-73 47%     18 - 9 -6.1 -1.6 -5.9
  Feb 28, 2013 322   @ Nebraska Omaha W 100-82 87%     19 - 9 13 - 3 +10.3 +4.6 +3.2
  Mar 09, 2013 332   IUPUI W 66-49 94%     20 - 9 +3.3 +8.3 +1.6
  Mar 11, 2013 242   Purdue Fort Wayne W 72-56 80%     21 - 9 +11.4 +8.2 +5.6
  Mar 12, 2013 94   North Dakota St. W 73-67 47%     22 - 9 +11.0 +12.8 -1.1
Projected Record 22.0 - 9.0 13.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 100.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 13.7 0.1 30.8 64.4 4.7
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13.7 0.1 30.8 64.4 4.7